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Question
Crowd Forecast
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
54
·
62
0
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
44
·
54
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
107
·
184
28%
Chance
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Closing
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
·
86
·
170
5%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
172
·
718
1%
Chance
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Closing
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
58
·
407
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Closing
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
·
170
·
1131
7%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
181
·
1026
1%
Chance
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
·
149
·
1077
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
·
113
·
862
1
2
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