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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will a Chinese organization produce DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 140 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2026?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
34
·
50
25%
Chance
Will a Chinese organization produce EUV photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 90 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2030?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
26
·
40
26%
Chance
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
49
·
83
24%
Chance
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
50
·
253
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Closing
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
118
·
539
33%
Chance
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
52
·
301
21%
Chance
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
25
·
127
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
41
·
367
36%
Chance
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
59
·
418
5%
Chance
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
504
9%
Chance
1
2
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