RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Your Score

What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?

Closed Dec 30, 2023 02:16PM UTC · 135 · 720

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Closed May 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC · 548 · 2016

Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?

Closed Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC · 96 · 233

What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?

Closed Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM UTC · 76 · 206

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023)

Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 113 · 309

Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023)

Closed Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC · 146 · 324

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 3, 2022 and Jan 3, 2023)

Closed Jan 03, 2023 10:00PM UTC · 86 · 162

Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?

Closed Feb 01, 2023 06:46PM UTC · 126 · 236

Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month?

Closed Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC · 183 · 506

Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?

Closed Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 121 · 855