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Question
Crowd Forecast
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
26
·
46
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
40
·
77
12%
Chance
What will be the risk index score for the perceived threat posed by Russia to Germany in the 2026 Munich Security Report?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
26
·
73
What will be Germany’s net perception of Ukraine in the 2026 Munich Security Report?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
27
·
76
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
138
·
527
1%
Chance
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
115
·
654
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Closing
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
·
87
·
506
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
87
·
678
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