RAND Forecasting Initiative

Your Score

Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023?

Closed Aug 21, 2023 09:00PM UTC · 53 · 260

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC · 188 · 415

What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022?

Closed Apr 20, 2023 03:23PM UTC · 42 · 215

Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?

Closed Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM UTC · 111 · 646

Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?

Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 149 · 761

How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?

Closed Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 87 · 490

In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC · 60 · 284

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022)

Closed Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC · 83 · 126

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)

Closed Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC · 87 · 135

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)

Closed Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC · 93 · 142