Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
Topics
Questions
The Question Lab
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Season
All
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Topics
Select All
Artificial Intelligence (7)
only
China Politics, Relati... (1)
only
International Diplomac... (38)
only
Iran: Threats & Influence (15)
only
Microelectronic Techno... (1)
only
Russia-Ukraine War (8)
only
Science & Technology (16)
only
Show less
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Open RAN (4)
only
China Lithography (2)
only
Cybersecurity (1)
only
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will a Chinese organization produce DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 140 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2026?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
37
·
58
29%
Chance
Will a Chinese organization produce EUV photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 90 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2030?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
30
·
47
32%
Chance
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
49
·
84
24%
Chance
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
50
·
255
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Closing
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
118
·
547
34%
Chance
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
52
·
303
20%
Chance
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
25
·
130
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
41
·
369
36%
Chance
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
59
·
420
5%
Chance
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
506
9%
Chance
1
2
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel