RAND Forecasting Initiative

Your Score

What will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between 4 December 2023 and 31 March 2024?

Closed Apr 01, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 89 · 574

Will Houthi rebels launch a missile that strikes within Israel in the next six months?

Closed Mar 18, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 66 · 270

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2023 and Dec 6, 2023)

Closed Dec 06, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 72 · 95

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2023 and Dec 6, 2023)

Closed Dec 06, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 64 · 83

Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?

Closed Apr 13, 2024 09:41PM UTC · 87 · 445

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 22, 2023 and Dec 22, 2023)

Closed Dec 22, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 73 · 201

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 11, 2023 and Oct 11, 2023)

Closed Oct 11, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 68 · 145

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 11, 2023 and Sep 11, 2023)

Closed Sep 11, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 51 · 66

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?

Closed Apr 19, 2024 02:19AM UTC · 113 · 631

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader before 1 March 2024?

Closed Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 99 · 777