RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question

Crowd Forecast

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 15, 2022 and Sep 17, 2021)

Closed Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year?

Closed Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC · 0 · 0

50%

Chance

Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?

Closed Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC · 80 · 116

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 24, 2021 and Dec 24, 2021)

Closed Dec 24, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)

Closed Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 24, 2021 and Nov 24, 2021)

Closed Nov 24, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)

Closed Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 24, 2021 and Oct 24, 2021)

Closed Oct 24, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)

Closed Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Closed Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC · 231 · 556

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Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 15, 2022 and Sep 17, 2021)

0%

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year?

50%

Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 24, 2021 and Dec 24, 2021)

0%

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)

0%

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 24, 2021 and Nov 24, 2021)

0%

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)

0%

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 24, 2021 and Oct 24, 2021)

0%

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)

0%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

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