RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Your Score

In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2022 and Jan 1, 2023)

Closed Jan 1, 2023 04:59AM · 44 · 64

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?

Closed Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM · 82 · 332

Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023?

Closed Aug 21, 2023 09:00PM · 53 · 260

Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?

Closed Feb 1, 2023 06:46PM · 126 · 236

Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?

Closed Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM · 172 · 590

In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022)

Closed Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM · 40 · 70

How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree?

Closed Sep 1, 2023 04:00AM · 43 · 285

Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)

Closed Dec 6, 2022 08:00PM · 155 · 283

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)

Closed Dec 3, 2022 10:00PM · 88 · 167

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Closed Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM · 188 · 415