RAND Forecasting Initiative

Your Score

What will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between 4 December 2023 and 31 March 2024?

Closed Apr 01, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 89 · 574

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 20, 2023 and Dec 20, 2023)

Closed Dec 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 80 · 165

Will Houthi rebels launch a missile that strikes within Israel in the next six months?

Closed Mar 18, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 66 · 270

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2023 and Dec 6, 2023)

Closed Dec 06, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 72 · 95

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2023 and Dec 6, 2023)

Closed Dec 06, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 64 · 83

Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?

Closed Apr 13, 2024 09:41PM UTC · 87 · 445

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 20, 2023 and Nov 20, 2023)

Closed Nov 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 79 · 168

Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 12, 2023 and Nov 22, 2023)

Closed Nov 22, 2023 01:45PM UTC · 141 · 382

Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month?

Closed Nov 22, 2023 01:45PM UTC · 141 · 382

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 22, 2023 and Dec 22, 2023)

Closed Dec 22, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 73 · 201