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Question
Your Score
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Closed
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM
·
88
·
231
Will the Syrian Democratic Forces collapse, fragment, or lose control over key territories, specifically Manbij, Raqqa, or Deir ez-Zor, before 1 October 2026?
Closed
Dec 10, 2024 10:46PM
·
55
·
200
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 29, 2024 and Aug 28, 2024)
Closed
Aug 28, 2024 08:00PM
·
65
·
92
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Closed
Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM
·
54
·
321
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 15, 2024 and Jul 15, 2024)
Closed
Jul 15, 2024 10:00PM
·
39
·
85
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 6, 2024 and Jul 6, 2024)
Closed
Jul 6, 2024 04:00PM
·
61
·
124
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 6, 2024 and Jul 6, 2024)
Closed
Jul 6, 2024 04:00PM
·
55
·
120
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 2, 2024 and Jul 2, 2024)
Closed
Jul 2, 2024 04:00PM
·
48
·
108
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week? (Scores for forecasts between May 15, 2024 and Jun 15, 2024)
Closed
Jun 15, 2024 10:00PM
·
41
·
95
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 10, 2024 and Oct 26, 2024)
Closed
Oct 26, 2024 03:29AM
·
82
·
395
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😘
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❤️
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😍
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😊
:blush:
😁
:grin:
👍
:+1:
☺️
:relaxed:
😔
:pensive:
😄
:smile:
😭
:sob:
💋
:kiss:
😒
:unamused:
😳
:flushed:
😜
:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:
🙈
:see_no_evil:
😉
:wink:
😃
:smiley:
😢
:cry:
😝
:stuck_out_tongue_closed_eyes:
😱
:scream:
😡
:rage:
😏
:smirk:
😞
:disappointed:
😅
:sweat_smile:
😚
:kissing_closed_eyes:
🙊
:speak_no_evil:
😌
:relieved:
😀
:grinning:
😋
:yum:
👌
:ok_hand:
😐
:neutral_face:
😕
:confused:
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