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Question
Crowd Forecast
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
41
·
58
26%
Chance
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
33
·
47
7%
Chance
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