Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
Topics
Questions
The Question Lab
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Season
All
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Topics
Select All
Artificial Intelligence (5)
only
China Politics, Relati... (1)
only
International Diplomac... (37)
only
Iran: Threats & Influence (14)
only
Microelectronic Techno... (1)
only
Russia-Ukraine War (8)
only
Science & Technology (14)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Iran Nuclear Program (10)
only
Iran-VNSAs (4)
only
Open RAN (4)
only
Africa (3)
only
Economic Debt (3)
only
Russian Disinformation (3)
only
Cybersecurity (2)
only
East Asia Security (2)
only
Show less
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
109
·
632
13%
Chance
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
99
·
732
14%
Chance
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
84
·
638
1%
Chance
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
90
·
975
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
109
·
950
0%
Chance
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
105
·
863
1%
Chance
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
84
·
881
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
97
·
968
1%
Chance
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
70
·
707
0%
Chance
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
107
·
1032
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel