RAND Forecasting Initiative

Your Score

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 10, 2024 and Oct 26, 2024)

Closed Oct 26, 2024 03:29AM UTC · 82 · 395

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?

Closed Oct 26, 2024 03:29AM UTC · 82 · 395

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 2, 2024 and Mar 2, 2024)

Closed Mar 02, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 48 · 108

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 2, 2024 and Feb 2, 2024)

Closed Feb 02, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 42 · 61

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 22, 2023 and Mar 22, 2024)

Closed Mar 22, 2024 08:00PM UTC · 90 · 388

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 11, 2023 and Apr 19, 2024)

Closed Apr 19, 2024 02:19AM UTC · 106 · 565

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 22, 2023 and Dec 22, 2023)

Closed Dec 22, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 73 · 201

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 11, 2023 and Oct 11, 2023)

Closed Oct 11, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 68 · 145

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 11, 2023 and Sep 11, 2023)

Closed Sep 11, 2023 04:00PM UTC · 51 · 66

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?

Closed Apr 19, 2024 02:19AM UTC · 113 · 631