RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 20, 2024 and Apr 1, 2024)

Closed Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 82 · 130

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 20, 2024 and Mar 20, 2024)

Closed Mar 20, 2024 08:00PM UTC · 110 · 192

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 20, 2024 and Feb 20, 2024)

Closed Feb 20, 2024 08:00PM UTC · 102 · 183

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 20, 2023 and Jan 20, 2024)

Closed Jan 20, 2024 08:00PM UTC · 83 · 161

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 20, 2023 and Dec 20, 2023)

Closed Dec 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 80 · 165

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 20, 2023 and Nov 20, 2023)

Closed Nov 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 79 · 168

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 20, 2023 and Oct 20, 2023)

Closed Oct 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 89 · 188

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 20, 2023 and Sep 20, 2023)

Closed Sep 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 91 · 215

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 20, 2023 and Aug 20, 2023)

Closed Aug 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC · 102 · 215

Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?

Closed Jul 01, 2024 04:01PM UTC · 89 · 726