RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question

Crowd Forecast

What will be the percent increase in the number of disinformation cases discussing Germany, originating in pro-Kremlin media, between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025, compared to the same period one year prior?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 12 · 24

How many members will be part of the Gold Hydrogen Program on 29 February 2024?

Closed Feb 29, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 24 · 40

By 31 March 2023, will the U.S. Department of Agriculture ban cultured meat companies from labeling their products as “meat” in the U.S.?

Closed Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 20 · 21

8%

Chance

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?

Closed Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 101 · 465

4%

Chance

By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Department of Educations’ STEAM and Computer Science Grants for FY23?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC · 26 · 45

By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Biological Systems Science Division for FY23?

Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC · 32 · 60

What percentage of the U.S.’s renewable energy consumption will come from biofuels in 2023?

Closed Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 105 · 808

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year?

Closed Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC · 0 · 0

50%

Chance

How many AI related patents will be published in China in 2022?

Closed Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC · 44 · 87

How many AI related patents will be published in the U.S. in 2022?

Closed Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC · 37 · 75

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What will be the percent increase in the number of disinformation cases discussing Germany, originating in pro-Kremlin media, between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025, compared to the same period one year prior?

How many members will be part of the Gold Hydrogen Program on 29 February 2024?

By 31 March 2023, will the U.S. Department of Agriculture ban cultured meat companies from labeling their products as “meat” in the U.S.?

8%

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?

4%

By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Department of Educations’ STEAM and Computer Science Grants for FY23?

By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Biological Systems Science Division for FY23?

What percentage of the U.S.’s renewable energy consumption will come from biofuels in 2023?

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year?

50%

How many AI related patents will be published in China in 2022?

How many AI related patents will be published in the U.S. in 2022?

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Topics

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8%

4%

50%