29th
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Akkete

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 1, 2023 04:01AM Will an AI-generated film or episode be released by Netflix, Hulu, Disney+, Max, Apple TV+, or Amazon Prime before 1 September 2023? 0.004042
    Sep 1, 2023 04:00AM How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree? 0.005135
    Aug 20, 2023 08:00PM Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 20, 2023 and Aug 20, 2023) 0.000619
    Aug 20, 2023 05:25PM Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023? 0.055623
    Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya? 0.000626
    Jul 11, 2023 01:00PM Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023? 0.085826
    Jul 2, 2023 04:00AM How many “venture capital members” will be part of BioMADE at the end of June 2023? 0.004427
    Jul 1, 2023 04:01AM Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023? 0.021435
    Jun 1, 2023 12:45AM On 31 May 2023, how many total tax incentives will be listed in the Alternative Fuels Data Center? -0.020543
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023? 0.002567
    Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? -0.000126
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? -0.000156
    Aug 1, 2022 01:52PM Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022? 0.054574
    Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022? 0.061854
    Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022? -0.048005
    Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022? 0.0528
    Jul 29, 2022 01:55PM How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022? -0.214823
    Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022? -0.049329
    Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022? -0.016034
    Jul 6, 2022 03:59AM What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022? -0.017831
     
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