Russian seems to be having the advantage in the war at the moment. Don't see changing before 1 May 2024. Barring this, don't see why should Putin cease to be president of the Russian Federation.
0.146818
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
Files
Why do you think you're right?
capabilities of creating a bot that posts will increase a lot and become accesible to anyone
This deluge of posts could potentially generate backlash, especially in the face of elections in the US and elsewhere
Why might you be wrong?
Too soon
US election will still not be at its height