Confirmed previous forecast
-0.253437
Relative Brier Score
80
Forecasts
15
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Artificial Intelligence,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Decoding Disinformation,
Mission: AI Advancement
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 25, 2023 01:02PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 25, 2023 to Jan 25, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(-10%)
Yes
Getting less likely. Will see what the next interest rate decision holds in early August (TE forecast to increase, which should help keep inflation under 40%)
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(-37%)
Yes
Late update.
Files
Almost no chance of exceeding 40%