Confirmed previous forecast
-0.124053
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Decoding Disinformation,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 26, 2024 02:26PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 26, 2024 to Aug 26, 2024
95%
(0%)
No
Feb 26, 2024 to Aug 26, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 20, 2024 01:39PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
Yes
Jan 20, 2024 to Jul 20, 2024
95%
No
Jan 20, 2024 to Jul 20, 2024
6 months is too soon
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
the end of this year is too soon, given the current heated situation of the israel/palestine conflict, no muslim country would sign normalization of relations with israel
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
that could lead to less content on social media by influencers
Files
since the hamas/israel war last october, hizbollah has been hugely involved too