The election results came out today (07/29), indicating a 51% victory for Maduro. Crowds rallied and protests erupted across Venezuela, with the opposition alleging fraud and evidence of irregularities starting to pile up.
The regime's isolation has never been stronger, with only a handful of authoritarian countries recognizing Maduro’s victory. Conversely, the opposition has never been so organized and supported internationally. Brazil's change in attitude is particularly emblematic. Amnesty for Maduro and his inner circle is a common ground for both the opposition and the U.S., which holds drug trafficking and other accusations against him.
This scenario may create the perfect storm to nudge Maduro into relinquishing power while addressing the accusations. A very similar situation occurred in 1958 when a fraudulent election led to the ousting of Marcos Pérez Jiménez from a long dictatorship. The coming days and weeks will be crucial in determining the future of Venezuela and its people.
I believe it is more likely that China will not build another military base in Africa. This point of view is defended because of the strong pressure that the USA applies on African countries to avoid it. The American government is especially concerned because if China established a base in Equatorial Guinea, for example, it could be a vulnerability for the East Coast, through the Atlantic Ocean,
Nevertheless, many African countries have adopted pragmatic ethos, negotiating and winning from both parties. Djibouti is the perfect example since it hosts both, Chinese (Naval) and American (Camp Lemonnier) military bases.
That being said, it is important to notice that Djibouti holds the status of a “comprehensive strategic partnership of cooperation" with China. This situation is shared with 11 other African countries. This is relevant because for China this is the 3rd strongest diplomatic bond and enough to establish military bases. More than that, China only has this level of relationship with 18 countries in the world, which means that 66% of them are African countries.