Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take some more time.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Estonia
100%
Latvia
100%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Togo
100%
(0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
0%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
0%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 3, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take more than one and a half year.
Why might you be wrong?
Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors