China will increase its power by all possible means, so if Beijing has the opportunity it will build a military base in any country that allows it. In the case of most African countries, they see China as an important investor and they will allow Chinese to do whatever they want if China give them money.
0.10514
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
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New Prediction
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Vladimir Putin is seen for many Russians as the man who has recovered the power and status in the international area for Russia, so he will remain in power as much as he can and he will not cease to be the presidente of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Moldova
0%
Armenia
0%
Georgia
0%
Kazakhstan
Russia is now creating a land corridor along the Black Sea and one of its objectives is to reach the Transnistria region. Without any doubt Russia will annex Transnistria and force Moldova to get way from the European Union.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
Hugo Chávez showed Nicolás Maduro that Venezuela needs a strong man to govern the country, so that Maduro will be in the Venezuelan presidency as much as he can. For Maduro, his permanence in power is fundamental to prevent the Chavism and its achievements from being lost.
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