It is a fact that the Syrian government will eventually regain control of all Syrian territory, especially when it has the support of Russia. Furthermore, US support for Syrian Democratic Forces will inevitably decline, leaving them more vulnerable to government attacks.
0.878134
Relative Brier Score
68
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3
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Mission: Diplomacy,
Future Bowl,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
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Will the Syrian Democratic Forces collapse, fragment, or lose control over key territories, specifically Manbij, Raqqa, or Deir ez-Zor, before 1 October 2026?
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Yes
0%
No
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Togo
100%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Russia has now the opportunity to extend its power in those zones where it can has interests (in this case, Africa). With the favorable situation in Ukraine and the support that Moscow has around the world, Russia will take advantage of Wagner operations in Africa and it will deploy this group in those African countries with natural resources of Russian interest. So, it’s very probably that Russian Africa Corps operations will be settle before 1 January 2026.
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China will increase its power by all possible means, so if Beijing has the opportunity it will build a military base in any country that allows it. In the case of most African countries, they see China as an important investor and they will allow Chinese to do whatever they want if China give them money.
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100%
No
Vladimir Putin is seen for many Russians as the man who has recovered the power and status in the international area for Russia, so he will remain in power as much as he can and he will not cease to be the presidente of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025.
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Moldova
0%
Armenia
0%
Georgia
0%
Kazakhstan
Russia is now creating a land corridor along the Black Sea and one of its objectives is to reach the Transnistria region. Without any doubt Russia will annex Transnistria and force Moldova to get way from the European Union.
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