Javretro2000

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Relative Brier Score
136110-10123456789101112
Questions Forecasted

20

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
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Forecasts 0 10 29 20 89
Comments 0 2 4 4 4
Questions Forecasted 0 9 13 11 34
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 0 3
 Definitions
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (-100%)
Estonia
0% (-100%)
Latvia
0% (-100%)
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take more than one and a half year.

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Why might you be wrong?

Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors

Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100%
Estonia
100%
Latvia
100%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take some more time. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors.

Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Togo
100% (0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100% (0%)
Moldova
0% (0%)
Armenia
0% (0%)
Georgia
0% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 3, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Javretro2000
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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