Javretro2000

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Relative Brier Score
138120024681012
Questions Forecasted

22

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
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Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 2 30 22 91
Comments 0 1 5 5 5
Questions Forecasted 0 2 14 12 35
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 0 3
 Definitions
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025
100%
No
Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

At this moment, Israel is conducting aggressive attacks in the Gaza strip, killing many innocent Palestinians. So, any Muslim-majority country that wanted to establish or normalize diplomatic relations with Israel could be perceive as a traitor by the Muslim population.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Any Muslim-majority country could want a close approch with Israel in order to get the approval and support of the United States

Files
New Badge
Javretro2000
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100% (0%)
Yes
Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025
0% (0%)
No
Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (-100%)
Estonia
0% (-100%)
Latvia
0% (-100%)
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take more than one and a half year.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors

Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100%
Estonia
100%
Latvia
100%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take some more time. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors.

Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 3, 2025 06:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 3, 2025 06:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Javretro2000
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Togo
100% (0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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