Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
22
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 30 | 22 | 91 |
Comments | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 35 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Definitions |

New Prediction

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025
0%
(0%)
No
Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-100%)
Estonia
0%
(-100%)
Latvia
0%
(-100%)
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take more than one and a half year.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Estonia
100%
Latvia
100%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
Russia will not invade any of these three countries before 1 April 2027 because it wants to fully control Ukraine first, and it will take some more time.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Russia may want to take advantage of the US relaxed stance against its territorial claims in Europe invading its Baltic neighbors.
Files

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 3, 2025 06:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 3, 2025 06:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Togo
100%
(0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
0%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
At this moment, Israel is conducting aggressive attacks in the Gaza strip, killing many innocent Palestinians. So, any Muslim-majority country that wanted to establish or normalize diplomatic relations with Israel could be perceive as a traitor by the Muslim population.
Why might you be wrong?
Any Muslim-majority country could want a close approch with Israel in order to get the approval and support of the United States