Updating for time and prediction market.
-0.039576
Relative Brier Score
13
Forecasts
3
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(-6%)
Yes
89%
(+6%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(+3%)
Yes
15%
(-3%)
No
There is now also a very similar question on our sister site GJOpen: https://www.gjopen.com/questions/3720-will-nicolas-maduro-be-inaugurated-as-president-of-venezuela-before-12-january-2025
They are a fair bit less confident over there than us here currently. And there's lots of good comments there too of course.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
17%
(-13%)
Yes
83%
(+13%)
No
Updating for time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
82%
(+6%)
Yes
18%
(-6%)
No
Updating for time and prediction market.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
76%
(+7%)
Yes
24%
(-7%)
No
Updating for time and prediction market.
Files
New Training Course Completion
Sep 03, 2024 03:41PM UTC
New Training Course Completion
Sep 03, 2024 03:40PM UTC
Forecasting Essentials: An Introduction to Making Probabilistic Forecasts
Research shows that you can become a better forecaster with practice. Learn how to think like a good forecaster with these essential tips to hone your skills on and off Foretell.
Updating for time and prediction market.