JuliusHege

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-0.039576

Relative Brier Score

14

Forecasts

3

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 2 14 14 14
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 2 3 3 3
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 3 3 3
 Definitions


Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs, Decoding Disinformation

New Badge
JuliusHege
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Updating for time.

Files
New Prediction
JuliusHege
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
93% (+8%)
Yes
7% (-8%)
No

Updating for time and prediction market.

Files
New Badge
JuliusHege
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Updating for time and prediction market.

Files
New Prediction
JuliusHege
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
85% (+3%)
Yes
15% (-3%)
No

There is now also a very similar question on our sister site GJOpen: https://www.gjopen.com/questions/3720-will-nicolas-maduro-be-inaugurated-as-president-of-venezuela-before-12-january-2025

They are a fair bit less confident over there than us here currently. And there's lots of good comments there too of course.

Files
New Prediction

Updating for time.

Files
New Prediction
JuliusHege
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
82% (+6%)
Yes
18% (-6%)
No

Updating for time and prediction market.

Files
New Badge
JuliusHege
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
JuliusHege
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
76% (+7%)
Yes
24% (-7%)
No

Updating for time and prediction market.

Files
Files
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