0.028326
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?
There may be a delay in the preparation of the Chinese mission
The next planned moon landing by the US is scheduled to happen in late 2024, coordinated by NASA Artemis mission. China is currently preparing to collect samples from the far side of the moon with its Chang'e 6, which is scheduled to happen in May 2024
Why do you think you're right?
According to BBC, As of August of 2023, Russia holds a significant portion of Ukrainian territory. Recently Russia advanced in the territories of Bakmuth and is now opening fronts in the Zaporozhye and Robotyne regions. In its current state, the Ukrainian army seems unable to make significant advances and resist the Russian maneuvers and will likely back off from these regions.
Why might you be wrong?
If there's new support coming from the West the situation might change. The early deliver of the F-16 fighter jets and new arms supplies from countries like Australia and other European countries can tilt the balance in favour of Ukraine.
Despite Russia being sanctioned and the country being in a prolonged war with Ukraine, Putin's approval rate is still above 70%. Besides, acording to Statista in 2020 the Russian congress passed an amendment allowing Putin to be President until 2036, with a 78% support of the population. So I believe he will continue being Russia's president
Despite Russia being sanctioned and the country being in a prolonged war with Ukraine, Putin's approval rate is still above 70%. Besides, acording to Statista in 2020 the Russian congress passed an amendment allowing Putin to be President until 2036, with a 78% support of the population. So I believe he will continue being Russia's president
The likelihood of a ceasefire is low, since the Israeli government reported on October 30th that a ceasefire would be the same to surrender to Hamas and Terrorism. Also, other armed groups such as Hezbollah have been showing support to the Palestinian cause, which makes a ceasefire scenario more unlikely.