Confirmed previous forecast
0.082014
Relative Brier Score
8
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
EA College Tournament
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 1, 2023 12:15AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 1, 2023 to Feb 1, 2023
Files
<0.5% of a nuclear test in four days