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| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Kharkiv
1%
(0%)
Kyiv
1%
(0%)
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
2%
(0%)
Latvia
4%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-15%)
Kharkiv
1%
(0%)
Kyiv
1%
(0%)
Odesa
Adjusting for passage of time and changes on the ground.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Moldova
4%
(0%)
Armenia
10%
(0%)
Georgia
5%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
2%
(0%)
Latvia
4%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Reduced for:
Moldova - lower chances of a good starting position
Georgia - no need to invade with the puppet government in place.
Kazakhstan - passage of time/lack of Russian military resources