Confirmed previous forecast
-0.29354
Relative Brier Score
27
Forecasts
7
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Open RAN
New Prediction
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Kharkiv
1%
(0%)
Kyiv
1%
(0%)
Odesa
Files
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Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
2%
(0%)
Latvia
4%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-15%)
Kharkiv
1%
(0%)
Kyiv
1%
(0%)
Odesa
Adjusting for passage of time and changes on the ground.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Moldova
4%
(0%)
Armenia
10%
(0%)
Georgia
5%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
2%
(0%)
Latvia
4%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(-30%)
Kharkiv
1%
(0%)
Kyiv
1%
(0%)
Odesa
The Russian forces in the north ended up incapable of making more than symbolic gains.
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