Unless the number of paper submissions to a conference or a journal has increased since august 2023, the Google Quantum AI has no more than 10 paper publications, having the most important from Nature on February 2023.
1.160704
Relative Brier Score
122
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 122 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 98 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(-27%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
There could be some paper submissions into journals or conferences that could be on the reviewing process, reaching more than 10 o 15 publications.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-38%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
The actual levels of violence does not represent a particular threat. Events with high fatality counts continue to take place in the state, a sign that the 2021 and 2022 trends are likely to continue without reaching higher levels. actually.
https://acleddata.com/2023/02/14/deadly-rio-de-janeiro-armed-violence-and-the-civilian-burden/
Files
Why might you be wrong?
There are several challenges due to floods and other natural events. The stability depends on how a particular bad management of thes events could cause a nother movent.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(-27%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
The Swedish government’s top priority is to become a full member of NATO before the defense alliance’s next summit in Vilnius in July. Nevertheless, Turkey and Hungary are the only NATO countries that have not yet ratified Sweden’s application.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
It is quite difficult at two weeks to have the complete approval of all the members, but it could be...
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
57%
(+2%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
At the official page of the lab, only 7 as of 29 June. Indeed, when searching for publications of this Quantum Lab, there are good ones with high level impact. Is there a lack of actualization of the list of publications on the official website?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
At the official page of the lab, only 7 as of 29 June. The strategy on Quantum Computing is a medium term and expensive strategy, but must be on the way.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
39%
Less than 6,000
49%
Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive
9%
Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive
3%
Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive
0%
More than or equal to 9,000
Why do you think you're right?
Despite actual results in terms of recent improvements in security (-2%), Mexico's homicide rate remains near historical highs, with 5,945fatalities in 2022 due to violence against civilians. (https://acleddata.com/2023/01/31/global-disorder-2022-the-year-in-review/)
This year, 2023, constitutes a very political year due to Governor's elections (July) and the movements for the presidential election in 2024, for the final candidates.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Fortunately, there are som actins tackiln security on the most conflicting states (nothern states), and it could represent in a better strategy to diminish violonce in general, but in particular violence against civilians.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Political reasons could led to such change in Microsoft. the opportunities are so interesting for many AI companies to continue in China.
Why might you be wrong?
A change in Industrial legislation in China, could possible revert the tendency to continue AI developments in companies in general (not only Chinese ones)