37th
Accuracy Rank

Paul_Rowan

About:
Show more

-0.223844

Relative Brier Score

178

Forecasts

2

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 9 14 256 178 1663
Comments 0 1 8 7 63
Questions Forecasted 9 13 43 26 133
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 2 2 31
 Definitions
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2024 to May 3, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 3, 2024 to May 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
97% (0%)
Yes
3% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 17th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
0% (0%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
0% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 17th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
100% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 16th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2024 to May 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 24%
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
4% (-16%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
96% (+16%)
More than or equal to 28%

Update with crowd

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Paul_Rowan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 16th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2024 to May 3, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 3, 2024 to May 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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