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Pramila

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Forecasted Questions
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Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:18PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 36% 36%
No 64% 64%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:18PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025 Dec 20, 2024 1%
No 99% Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025 Dec 20, 2024 99%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:19PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 2% 2%
Latvia 2% 1%
Lithuania 2% 2%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:19PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:19PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 22% Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025 Feb 20, 2025 22%
No 78% Nov 20, 2024 to Nov 20, 2025 Feb 20, 2025 78%

What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:20PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 24% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% 1% 1%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% 5% 4%
More than or equal to 28% 94% 94%

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
 15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:20PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 7% 5%
No 93% 95%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:21PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025 Dec 20, 2024 0%
No 100% Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025 Dec 20, 2024 100%

Will the Latin American governments listed (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:21PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Argentina 19% 16%
Bolivia 20% 22%
Ecuador 14% 12%

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Forecast Count:
 19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2024 03:21PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
S-400 or S-500 missile system 9% 9%
Su-35 fighter jets 7% 6%
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