He would have to die suddenly in the next 3 months. Either through assassination or medical causes.
-0.058742
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
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Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy
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Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
Files
Both the US and Israel have an incentive to cripple Iran through non kinetic means. Both US and Israel have expertise in cyberattack.