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Revmag

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Forecasted Questions
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Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 04:01PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
No 100% 100%

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 04:04PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 90% Sep 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 87%
No 10% Sep 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 13%

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 04:04PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 91% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 86%
No 9% Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 Oct 25, 2024 14%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 25, 2024 04:06PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 5% 22%
No 95% 78%

Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 27, 2024 03:53PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 44% 44%
No 56% 56%

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2024 12:10PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 6% Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025 Dec 29, 2024 5%
No 94% Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025 Dec 29, 2024 95%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2024 12:10PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 9% 6%
No 91% 94%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2024 12:10PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 30% 25%
No 70% 75%

Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2024 12:10PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 6% Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 Oct 29, 2024 16%
No 94% Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025 Oct 29, 2024 84%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2024 12:10PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 4% Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025 Dec 29, 2024 8%
No 96% Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025 Dec 29, 2024 92%
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