annaosullivan

About:
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-0.388469

Relative Brier Score
13753000.511.522.53
Questions Forecasted
136210-0.100.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.1
Scored Questions

6

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
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Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 2 2 6 4 6
Comments 0 0 1 1 1
Questions Forecasted 2 2 3 2 3
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions


Most Active Topics:
Russian Disinformation

New Prediction
annaosullivan
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than or equal to 59
0% (0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
43% (0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
34% (0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
23% (0%)
More than or equal to 90
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annaosullivan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
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New Prediction
annaosullivan
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 59
0%
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
43%
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
34%
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
23%
More than or equal to 90
Why do you think you're right?

Germany has a lot of misinformation due to Putin's overarching control of Russian media and limitations of civil society.

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Why might you be wrong?
Germany has a strong international media presence, and Putin's re-election is coming up soon.
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New Badge
annaosullivan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Badge
annaosullivan
earned a new badge:

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New Prediction

President Putin has absolute control over all branches of Russia's government, and has filled said branches with loyalists. Additionally, his erosion of democracy has made these branches practically powerless to stop him from continuing his dictatorship.

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New Badge
annaosullivan
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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annaosullivan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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