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brazilian diplomatic student : CACD

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Forecasted Questions
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Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 90% Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 Jan 31, 2025 4%
No 10% Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 Jan 31, 2025 96%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 10% 2%
Latvia 10% 1%
Lithuania 10% 2%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 80% 5%
No 20% 95%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 30% 21%
No 70% 79%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 98% 97%
No 2% 3%

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 5% Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025 Jan 31, 2025 12%
No 95% Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025 Jan 31, 2025 88%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 90% 34%
No 10% 66%

Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana 30% 3%
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells 60% 5%
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo 99% 1%
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo 1% 1%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 30% Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 Nov 30, 2024 0%
No 70% Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 Nov 30, 2024 100%

Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2024 12:36PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Togo 9% 24%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations 76% 40%
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