Lack of clear opposition and consistent history of retained leadership positions
-0.000207
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Files
Why do you think you're right?
It's already happenned once. It will happen again. Not clear the the protocols which are set up by WHO will be followed by individual nations, and even if they are at a government level, whether inidividual laboratories are competently run.
Why might you be wrong?
It's possible that after Covid there have been tighter, effective, controls put in place by labroratories globally.