Only 6 weeks left until resolution. Difficult to see the threat situation move significantly over that timescale.
0.00004
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
Will BP or Shell resume oil shipments through the Red Sea before 31 March 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
97%
No
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Making my first forecast!
Files