Forecasted Questions
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 05:16PM UTC
(9 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 05:16PM UTC
(9 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 86% | +4% | +4% |
| No | 10% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 14% | -4% | -4% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 05:16PM UTC
(8 hours ago)
Sep 30, 2024 05:16PM UTC
(8 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 92% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 87% | +5% | +3% |
| No | 8% | Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 13% | -5% | -3% |