Confirmed previous forecast
0.025366
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on May 2, 2024 03:34PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 2, 2024 to Oct 2, 2024
90%
(0%)
No
Apr 2, 2024 to Oct 2, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
crowd
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 14, 2024 08:34PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Feb 14, 2024 to Aug 14, 2024
90%
No
Feb 14, 2024 to Aug 14, 2024
ceasefire or post-war agreement may include normalization
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
Death and tail events
Files