Forecasted Questions
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
25 Forecasts
25 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:22PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:22PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 47% | 44% | +3% | +1% |
No | 53% | 56% | -3% | -1% |
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
62 Forecasts
62 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:26PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:26PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
S-400 or S-500 missile system | 15% | 9% | +6% | -2% |
Su-35 fighter jets | 3% | 7% | -4% | -1% |
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 45% | Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025 | Oct 24, 2024 | 55% | -10% | +6% |
No | 55% | Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025 | Oct 24, 2024 | 45% | +10% | -6% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Forecast Count:
42 Forecasts
42 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 5% | Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025 | Oct 24, 2024 | 6% | -1% | -3% |
No | 95% | Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025 | Oct 24, 2024 | 94% | +1% | +3% |
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana | 2% | 3% | -1% | +0% |
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells | 3% | 4% | -1% | +0% |
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:59PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:59PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 24% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% | 5% | 22% | -17% | -10% |
More than or equal to 28% | 95% | 77% | +18% | +10% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 04:59PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 04:59PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 3% | 1% | +2% | +0% |
No | 97% | 99% | -2% | +0% |
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
36 Forecasts
36 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025 | Oct 24, 2024 | 0% | +1% | 0% |
No | 99% | Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025 | Oct 24, 2024 | 100% | -1% | 0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
22 Forecasts
22 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Estonia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +1% |
Latvia | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Lithuania | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 98% | 96% | +2% | +0% |
No | 2% | 4% | -2% | +0% |