michalbod

As it is almost tie between AAPL and NVDA and MSFT a bit behind I am going to increase NVDA chances to 33%. At this point I can not see any obvious fundamental reasons why NVDA should underperform AAPL and MSFT

Initial forecast I will go a bit above consensus here as there is a lot of problems within SDF and timespan of the question is quite long. 

As other pointed out there does not seem to be significant rise in number of cases in previous cycle and there is growing evidence that such actions do not work.

From the other hand if something does not work does not guarantee that it won't be used by Russia. There might be already funds and projects in Russia dedicated to disinfo campaingns that needs to be used...  Also There might be growing desire among politicians to blame russian disinfo campaigns for their  failures as pointed by @ctsats which I believe is fair point but in the same time it may put more pressure by those politicians on euDisinfo database to tag  more cases as such.
Overall I am Forecasting there might be similar results as previous years which means all bins are in play.

Zeroing out due to passage of time and weather conditions.