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o-maverick
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
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China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
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Iran Nuclear Program
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metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2022 and Jan 1, 2023)
-0.000257
Dec 29, 2022 10:00PM UTC
What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?
0.013945
Dec 29, 2022 05:00AM UTC
In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 31, 2022 and Jun 29, 2022)
0.001201
Dec 22, 2022 08:51PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
0.006546
Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022)
-0.000767
Dec 15, 2022 01:02PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Jan 2023
0.420978
Dec 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)
0.003663
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
-0.000137
Nov 28, 2022 03:46PM UTC
Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?
-0.035809
Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022)
-0.000858
Nov 15, 2022 01:01PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Dec 2022
0.175757
Nov 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022)
0.000829
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
-0.0002
Oct 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2022 and Oct 17, 2022)
-0.000093
Oct 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Oct 3, 2022)
-0.000087
Sep 17, 2022 07:16PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Oct 2022
-0.017444
Sep 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2022 and Sep 17, 2022)
-0.0002
Sep 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 3, 2022 and Sep 3, 2022)
0.0
Aug 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
-0.000361
Aug 15, 2022 01:00PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Sep 2022
0.002672
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