Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
(1 year from now)
Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 24, 2025 06:17AM
(11 days ago)
Mar 24, 2025 06:17AM
(11 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 4% | 9% | -5% | -3% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 94% | 88% | +6% | +3% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 2% | 3% | -1% | +0% |
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 24, 2025 06:19AM
(11 days ago)
Mar 24, 2025 06:19AM
(11 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 15% | 7% | +8% | -1% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 42% | 35% | +7% | +2% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 32% | 44% | -12% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 9% | 11% | -2% | -1% |
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2025 08:29PM
(5 days ago)
Mar 29, 2025 08:29PM
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 28% | -8% | -3% |
| No | 80% | 72% | +8% | +3% |
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2025 08:32PM
(5 days ago)
Mar 29, 2025 08:32PM
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 5% | 8% | -3% | -1% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 15% | 14% | +1% | +1% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 15% | 15% | +0% | -1% |
| Not before 2026 | 65% | 62% | +3% | +2% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
16 Forecasts
16 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(29 days from now)
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(29 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2025 08:37PM
(5 days ago)
Mar 29, 2025 08:37PM
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | 7% | +8% | -1% |
| No | 85% | 93% | -8% | +1% |