Confirmed previous forecast
-0.048082
Relative Brier Score
17
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Sep 17, 2024 09:45PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 17, 2024 to Sep 17, 2024
98%
(0%)
No
Aug 17, 2024 to Sep 17, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 14, 2024 01:43PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(-3%)
Yes
Jul 14, 2024 to Aug 14, 2024
98%
(+3%)
No
Jul 14, 2024 to Aug 14, 2024
Adjusting based on current crowd consensus
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 14, 2024 05:06PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 14, 2024 to Jul 14, 2024
95%
(0%)
No
Jun 14, 2024 to Jul 14, 2024
rolling forward
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 16, 2024 11:58AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
May 16, 2024 to Jun 16, 2024
95%
(0%)
No
May 16, 2024 to Jun 16, 2024
Rolling forward
Files