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50th
Accuracy Rank
thsavage
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Aug 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
-0.032282
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022?
0.153039
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022?
0.000773
Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
0.001953
Jul 29, 2022 01:55PM UTC
How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022?
0.000991
Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM UTC
How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?
0.001704
Jul 23, 2022 04:18PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?
0.723373
Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022)
0.626912
Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM UTC
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?
0.077871
Jul 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 17, 2022 and Jul 17, 2022)
-0.000547
Jul 15, 2022 01:10PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Aug 2022
0.006309
Jul 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?
0.009116
Jul 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 3, 2022 and Jul 3, 2022)
0.0
Jul 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.072313
Jul 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.070731
Jul 01, 2022 01:25PM UTC
Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?
0.004757
Jun 15, 2022 01:12PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Jul 2022
-0.0093
Jun 04, 2022 04:00AM UTC
What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022?
0.066682
Jun 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between May 3, 2022 and Jun 3, 2022)
-0.000316
Jun 02, 2022 01:40PM UTC
What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?
-0.053099
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