Time.
0.105304
Relative Brier Score
92
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 8 | 40 | 23 | 382 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 7 | 25 | 13 | 80 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Moldova
25%
Armenia
5%
Georgia
0%
Kazakhstan
Not Kazakhstan. Armenia most likely after failed coup.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Estonia
0%
Latvia
0%
Lithuania
All NATO Countries. Not a chance.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Sep 23, 2024 to Mar 23, 2025
100%
No
Sep 23, 2024 to Mar 23, 2025
Not enough time to prepare anymore
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
No time for change.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Too much hold on power. Only 1% due to health issues.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Kharkiv
0%
(0%)
Kyiv
0%
(0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Too strong a hold over Russia