57th
Accuracy Rank

heim

About:

Show more
View All Badges »
All Time Stats

0.1826

Relative Brier Score

901

Forecasts

70

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 10 40 462 396 901
Comments 0 0 1 1 72
Questions Forecasted 10 10 29 21 81
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 7 6 70
 Definitions

Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict, Science & Technology, Artificial Intelligence, Iran: Threats & Influence, Microelectronic Technologies

Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program, Iran-VNSAs, Decoding Disinformation, Semiconductor Supply Chain, Mission: Diplomacy

New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
heim made their 7th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
heim made their 29th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35% (0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to Nov 16, 2025
65% (0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to Nov 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
heim made their 15th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
7% (0%)
Yes
93% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
heim made their 48th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
heim made their 35th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
heim made their 47th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
100% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
heim made their 35th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
98% (0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel